Introduction
LET me begin by setting down in tabular form all possible hypotheses
about the origin and disappearance of matter.
(A) |
|
(B) |
Hypotheses about the duration of matter and energy in the past |
Hypotheses about the duration of matter and energy in the future |
(A1) All matter and energy has existed for all time |
(B1) All matter and energy will continue for all time |
(A2) All matter and energy has
existed for approximately the
same time, which is the time that has elapsed since the date of the Creation. According to this hypothesis, no particle has existed for a longer time than has elapsed since the Creation began nor for a shorter time than has elapsed since the process was completed.
|
(B2) All matter and energy will continue to exist for approximately the same time, which is the time that will elapse until the End of the World. According to this hypothesis, no particle will continue for a shorter time than will elapse up to the beginning of the End of the World nor for a longer time than will elapse until the process is completed. |
(A3) Any particle of matter or quantum of energy may have existed for any time. This is a way of saying that matter and energy are originating without cause, continuously, at random, and not as a result of anything in the existing state of affairs |
(B3) Any particle of matter or quantum of energy may cease to exist at any time. This is a way of saying that matter and energy are disappearing without cause, continuously and by extinction, at random, and not as a result of anything in the existing state of affairs |
Any hypothesis in the left-hand column can be coupled with any
in the right-hand one. The nine combinations thus obtainable cover
between them every logical possibility concerning the total duration
of matter. When one couples (A1) with (B1), (A2) with (B2), or (A3) with (B3), one obtains a symmetrical hypothesis. Only these three
together with the unsymmetrical combination of (A1 with (B3)
have their supporters and call for critical study.
On this occasion I propose to consider first the hypotheses about
the duration of matter in the past and then those about its duration
in the future. It will be found that all of them except {A3) and (B3)
have to be rejected for various scientific reasons. Unless one decides
to form no opinion at all about the duration of matter one has therefore provisionally to adopt the one according to which the period of
existence of a particle of matter or of a photon is indeterminate both
in the past and in the future. This is not, be it admitted, because the
hypothesis of the indeterminate duration of matter and energy can be
proved valid. It is because this is the only one that no one has succeeded
in proving false, the only one that can survive critical study. It is
reached by a process of elimination. A scientist may with good
reason suspend judgment; but it is not legitimate for him to adopt
any other combination than (A3) with (B3) unless he can (a) overcome
the scientific objections to his choice and (b) provide a positive justification for it other than that of pure faith.
2 The hypothesis of continuous existence in the past
This is an appropriate description of (A1). It has to be rejected
for the simple reason that a number of observable processes in a self-contained system, tend asymptotically towards a limiting condition.
If the hypothesis were true every asymptote would have been reached
by now and the universe would be very different from the one that
we live in. This follows from the fact that many physical processes
are irreversible. So the universe must either have existed for a finite
time (A2), or it is not a self-contained system (A3). This point can
best be explained with the help of a few examples.
(1) During every energy change in a self-contained system the
total potential energy in the system decreases and the total kinetic and
radiant energy increases by the same amount; a self-contained system
being one into and out of which no energy or matter passes. This is
no more than one formulation of the second law of thermodynamics.
Another formulation is to say that the entropy in a self-contained
system tends asymptotically to a maximum limiting value. Both
statements mean the same thing. If (A1) were valid there would
be no more available potential energy; the limiting value for entropy
would have been reached by now; no energy changes could occur.
So one must conclude that (A1) is not vahd. Either the time during
which energy changes have been occurring is finite, as is asserted by
(A2), or the universe is not a self-contained system, as is asserted
by (A3).
(2) The movement of all bodies in a field of force is a one-way
movement. The direction is from a position of higher to one of
lower potential. If one does not limit the meaning of the word
'falling' to movement towards the centre of our earth but allows
the word to stand for movement in the direction of any field of force
it is quite precise to say that bodies moving in a field of force are always
falling. They go on falling until they lodge on a place from which
they can fall no farther. During the process they gain kinetic and lose
potential energy; they conform to the second law of thermodynamics.
In fact the law according to which movable bodies always fall as far
as they can is but one particular illustration of the more general second
law of thermodynamics; it is really implicit in what was said under
(1) above.
Had all matter and energy been in existence for all time every
object would, by now, have fallen as far as it could. The asymptote
would have been reached for which no movement in the direction of
a field of force was occurring. But in fact about half the matter in the
universe exists in interstellar space and is still in process of falling on
to stars; on our earth rain falls from clouds and the water of our
rivers falls down inclined planes into the sea. By this special application of the second law of thermodynamics the bodies that are still
falling cannot have been doing so for all time. Each of them must
have come into existence a finite time ago. Once again (A1) is
ruled out.
(3) Eddington proved mathematically that an Einstein universe
could only both contain matter and be stable if it were either expanding
or contracting. Observation of distant nebulae shows a shift of all the
lines of their spectrum towards the red end. This is spoken of as the
red shift. It seems to be proportional to the distance from us of the
observed object. Its simplest interpretation is that of Doppler effect,
and if this is correct it shows that the nebulae are receding from us
with a velocity proportional to their distances. So the red shift has
been interpreted as observational confirmation of theory and as proof
that the universe is expanding. One can only refute this conclusion
if one does two things. One must find (a) a substitute for the Einstein
universe, such that it would be stable without expanding, and (b) an
alternative explanation of the observed red shift. The attempts at
both made so far amount to little more than surmise.
If the whole of the matter and energy in the universe have existed
for all time and the expansion has been unidirectional the density of
matter in space must have reached asymptotically the value zero by
now. But it is not zero. So, yet again, those who accept the hypothesis of an expanding universe must also reject hypothesis (A1).
3 The hypothesis of past infinite existence
This is an appropriate name for (A2). It accords with the theological doctrine that an Act of Creation was performed once, and once
only, in a remote past, differently dated, in thousands of years by
some, and in millions by others. The reason why it has to be rejected
is not, as for {Al), that it is incompatible with undisputed scientific
facts and laws. The reason was hinted at when I first discussed this
hypothesis in 1940 and gave it the name 'Once-upon-a-time theory'.
Like a fairy tale it fails to conform to the principle of economy of
hypotheses.
(A2) asserts that in the whole of infinite time two moments have
had a unique significance. One is the commencement, the other the
completion date of the universe. During the interval between these
significant moments one is asked to believe that the most fundamental
laws of physics, the nature of material systems, those features by which
we recognise matter and energy when we encounter them, were
different from what they have been ever since. 'Once-upon-a-time'
hypothesis {A1) asserts by implication: 'the law of conservation of
energy was suspended; all sorts of things happened that could not
happen now. That was during the time, which may for all that we
know have been very long or very short, between the moment when
the first proton appeared in our universe and the moment when the very
last one arrived in its allotted place. But immediately after that happy
event all the laws of physics were imposed with the rigour that they
have now. And they have never been suspended again.' It is alien
to the spirit of science to postulate conditions of that sort. The mildest
comment that can be made on (A2) is that physicists do not have a
place in their science for events of which the type does not repeat itself.
4 The hypothesis of continuous origin
This is an appropriate name for (A3). When I first advocated it
in 1940 in my book Science versus Materialism1 I called it
‘The At-any-time Theory'. The word 'any' hints at the absence from
the all-too specific hypotheses implied in (A1) and (A2). The same
hypothesis has since been independently advocated by Hoyle,2 and
and by Bondi and Gold,3 with much more supporting evidence than
I provided. It has been supported by McCrea.4 Their contribution
was to formulate it in mathematical language and present it in quantitative terms. They were led to undertake this task by two considerations. Firstly, extrapolations by which to arrive from various
different observations at a date for the Creation that is implied in (A2)
led to conflicting results; secondly, neither (A1) nor (A2) could be
reconciled with a principle known as 'The Perfect Cosmological
Principle', according to which, apart from unimportant differences,
the universe presents the same aspect at all parts of it and at all times.
The conclusion reached by such distinct lines of reasoning have been
received with scepticism in some quarters, but never disproved.
5 Disappearance by extinction or by removal?
If new matter has been originating for all time it is necessary to
explain why we do not observe an infinite amount of it. In other
words the origin of new matter must be balanced by the disappearance
of old. And the disappearance must be genuine, absolute. It cannot,
of course, consist in the conversion of matter and/or energy into
something else. Nor can what has disappeared leave any trace.
If it did we should observe an infinite accumulation of traces. So
much is agreed by all those who support (A3). But two quite
distinct assumptions have been made about the manner of the disappearance. The first may be called disappearance by extinction, the
second disappearance by removal.
The hypothesis of disappearance by extinction is an appropriate
name for (B3). The reason that led me to couple it with (A3) when
I first put it forward in 1940 and in subsequent contributions 5 was
again the principle of economy of hypotheses. To the question for
how long a given particle must exist the answer 'it may be for any
time' is less of a hypothesis than either the answer 'it must be for
all time' or 'it must be for the finite time that will elapse until the
End of theWorld'.
On this view there is no need to assume that the rate of origin and the
rate of disappearance are everywhere and at all times equal. For they
are not assumed to influence each other. The difference between the
two rates may be positive in one part of space-time and negative in
another. The universe as a whole may be sometimes expanding and
sometimes contracting, depending on whether the rate of origin for
the whole happens to exceed or fall short of the rate of extinction. If
one sets out to avoid any and every unsupported hypothesis one is left
with the very barest minimum of assumptions. One must either
abandon the subject or assume complete randomness. Anything more
is based on faith and not on facts.
The hypothesis of disappearance by removal rejects (B3) and
assumes that every particle that has once come into existence will
continue for all time, as assumed in (B1), or at least until the End of the
World, as assumed in (B2). The advocates of this hypothesis account
for the observed finite density with which matter is spread over space
in an ingenious way. They point out that, as matter originates, space
must expand to accommodate it. And as matter is assumed to have
been originating for an infinite time space is assumed to have acquired
an infinite volume and to be expanding at an infinite rate. Thus disappearance is not regarded as extinction but as removal to distant
regions.
It might be thought for a moment that the removed matter would
continue to leave traces with an observer here and now, so that there
would be an infinite accumulation of traces. But it would not be so.
There is a limiting distance, beyond which objects in an expanding
universe recede with a velocity greater than that of light. An observer
can receive no evidence, even in theory, of the present or past existence
of such objects. Their removal carries, one might say, all traces with
it. There is something attractive, almost poetic, in the picture of
heavenly bodies drifting on and on, eternally, into infinite space. Yet
I find myself unable to reconcile it with a rather important and fundamental scientific principle.
6 The error of attaching physical meaning to infinity
In mathematics infinity means just this: however large a number
one cares to mention, one could mention a still larger one. The
value of this larger one not being stated, the symbol for infinity does
not stand for any specific value. Infinity is by intention and definition, an unspecified quantity. But how can a deliberately imprecise
mathematical symbol apply to a physical reality? Surely it is
axiomatic that there can be no infinite quantity of any physical
reality. This helps to explain why, when in the general theory of
relativity, space was invested with physical properties, it was also
found to be of finite extent. The same reasoning is implicit in the
discovery in quantum mechanics that no physical quantity can be
infinitely small. Are we now to go back on the insight that these
discoveries gave us? And this is what (B1) does when it is coupled
with (A3). It postulates a physical space with a rim, or edge, or
boundary infinitely distant and receding from us at an infinite speed,
at a speed moreover that increases exponentially during a finite time,
no matter how short, by an infinite amount. When one sets foot
upon the path represented by such a notion one cannot rest content
with the may-be comforting concept of a simple infinity. One has
to add infinity to function of infinity, over and over again, literally
ad infinitum.
Even more disturbing, when one turns one's mind from a contemplation of mathematical abstractions to physical realities, is the notion
of centres here and there around which, according to this hypothesis,
matter must have been accumulating for all time. To point out
that any such centres of accumulation must be in regions from which
no trace can reach us is not to deny that their existence is implicit in
the hypothesis. For it is assumed that centres of accumulation have
begun at all times, some therefore in the infinitely remote past.
Matter must have been falling on these for an infinitely long time;
they must by now have grown infinitely massive; they must be
imparting to all objects within their infinitely extensive, infinitely
strong gravitational fields an infinite acceleration; they must be growing at an infinite rate; the gravitational forces at their centre must be
infinitely intense; and so must the forces applied by gravitation at
any finite distances from them however great these distances may be.
Such are some of the conclusions that one has to face when one
follows the path that identifies all mathematical symbols with physical
realities. Surely when one finds oneself on this slippery slope the
wise thing is to retrace one's steps.
Let us remember the alternatives with which the two hypotheses
about the manner of disappearance of matter confront us. Each
obliges one, admittedly, to surrender something that one may like
to believe. One must surrender either the axiom that an infinite
amount of a physical quantity is a notion without meaning or the
traditional belief in the permanence of matter and energy. But
between an axiom based on logic and a belief based merely on
tradition a scientist must not hesitate. Belief in the conservation laws
is surely the more expendable one.
7 A possible means of deciding between (B1) and (B3) by observation
Both those who couple (B1) and those who couple (B3) with (A3)
assume that new stars arise far out in interstellar space as the result of
irregularities in the distribution of new matter. Mass densities slightly
above the average are assumed to act as centres of gravitational fields
and to grow by the capture of further new matter from their vicinity.
But a moment's thought shows that the rate of growth cannot be the
same for each hypothesis.
According to (B1) a new star must continue to grow without
limit. But according to (B3) the rate of growth must become less as
the star reaches a very large size and may at last cease altogether or
even become negative. The reason is as follows.
To couple (B3) with (A1) is to assert that the rate of origin of
new matter is approximately constant per unit volume while the rate
of disappearance is approximately constant per unit mass. So a star
would lose more matter the larger it was, and its replenishment rate
by gravitational capture of new material would have also to increase
with increasing size. Hence a growing star would depend on an ever
increasing volume of space for new matter; the particles captured
would be drawn, on the average, from greater distances; and so the
probability that any one of them would reach the star before its
disappearance by extinction would decrease as the star grew bigger.
In other words, the replenishment rate according to (B3) could not
be expected to keep pace with the loss rate; the latter would tend to
gain on the former. Should they become equal the star would cease
to grow. A consequence is that there must be an upper limit for
the size of the star if (B3) is valid, but none if (B1) is.6 (B3) thus
predicts that a larger proportion of all stars must occur within a
certain size-range than (B1) does. Data concerning the actual size
distribution of all observable stars should therefore help towards a
decision whether the hypothesis of disappearance by extinction or
that of disappearance by removal is the more tenable.
* Read to the Philosophy of Science Group, 14. June 1954
References
1 R. 0. Kapp, Science versus Materialism, London, 1940, Chapter XXIV
2 F. Hoyle, 'Stellar Evolution and the Expanding Universe', Nature, 1949,163, 196
3 H. Bondi and T. Gold, 'The Steady State Theory of the Expanding Universe', Monthly Notes Royal Astronomical Society, 1948, 108, 252
4 W. H. McCrea, 'The Steady State Theory of the Expanding Universe',
Endeavour, 1950, 9, 3; 'Relativity Theory and the Creation of Matter', Proceedings of the Royal Society, 1951, 206, 562
5 R. 0. Kapp, 'Effects of Origin of Matter on Cosmology', The Observatory,
1948, 69, 149; 'Development of the Universe', Nature, 1948, 165, 68; 'Theories about the Origin and Disappearance of Matter', The Observatory, 1953. 73, 113
6 R. 0. Kapp, 'Development of the Universe', Nature, 1948, 165, 687
Acknowledgement
This paper and any subsequent discussions and rejoinders are reproduced from the British Journal for the Philosophy of Science with the kind permission of the Oxford University Press.
Website home page: http://bjps.oxfordjournals.org/
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